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Good job Obama. All you had to do was not be a republican and tell people things are going to change. Now, let’s work together to get some of that change.
Man, NC might actually go Obama. He was ahead a few percentage points, but then it got to around 90% reporting and McCain took the lead for a while, now Obama has a 20,000 vote lead with 95% reporting. This county has come a long way.
Lordy, I need to go to bed. I just watched Obama speak in Chicago. As usual, good speech.
Good night all. Here’s to the future.
It’s good to vote for the winner.
I would have to agree with this article title:
Polls: Race Tightening in North Carolina
I was telling some friends the beginning of last week that the race was going to be closer than people think, maybe it is actually true.
More polls came out today, like pretty much any other day. It’s amazing how much we rely/give importance to polls now a days and it’s a pretty recent phenomenon. True, polls have been used for quite a long time, but the last eight years have seen a major increase.
According to a cnn/gallop poll, President Bush’s approval rating is 28%, which is a little lower than usual. He’s pretty much been around 30% for a long time. His Republican base has and will always keep him around 30%, no matter how bad things get.
The “news worth” information from the poll is that his disapproval rating is the highest of any president, 71%. I think that percentage is a little inflated, but they polled over 1,000 people so it’s a pretty good survey, depending on the type of questions they asked. Most other places I’ve read have his disapproval rating around 65%. Que the graph:
| Bush Job Approval October 2006 – Current |
||
|---|---|---|
| Approve | Disapprove | |
| Apr 26 | 34 | 64 |
| Apr 19 | 34 | 64 |
| Apr 12 | 35 | 63 |
| Apr 5 | 34 | 63 |
| Mar 2008 | 36 | 61 |
| Feb 2008 | 37 | 60 |
| Jan 2008 | 38 | 59 |
| Dec | 37 | 60 |
| Nov | 37 | 60 |
| Oct | 37 | 61 |
| Sep | 38 | 59 |
| Aug | 38 | 59 |
| Jul | 38 | 60 |
| Jun | 35 | 62 |
| May | 36 | 61 |
| Apr | 39 | 59 |
| Mar | 40 | 58 |
| Feb | 41 | 57 |
| Jan 2007 | 41 | 57 |
It’s easy to get low numbers though. Have the economy go to pot, increase food and fuel prices, and be in an unpopular war, that will make anyone have a low rating. Oh well, it will be neat to see in 50 years how history rates President Bush, and Clinton for that matter.
Let’s talk about local politics. I think Obama is still going to carry North Carolina Tuesday, but it will not be as big of a lead as he/people probably think. A small amount of it can be contributed to Republicans voting for Hillary and a larger part because of Rev. Wright and recent ads released by Hillary’s campaign.
A recent poll, released today, has Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 51% to 37%. A few weeks ago his lead was 23%. Why do you think everyone wrote NC off after Penn, he was already leading very well in NC. Too bad Indiana is a toss up.
Excerpts: “The demographic results in North Carolina are similar to the dynamics seen nationally and in most primaries—Clinton leads by fifteen points among White voters while Obama leads 80% to 11% among African-Americans. Clinton does well among White Women and older voters while Obama leads among those under 65. Among White voters who earn less than $60,000 annually, Clinton leads by a 2-to-1 margin. Obama leads among White voters who earn more than $75,000 a year.”
Hillary will probably win Indiana, and Obama NC, then we’ll be in a mess again and not figure anything out until August. McCain just keeps looking better, the old coot.
It is going to suck when John McCain becomes our next president. People are going to write a lot about how the Democrats let this election go…
The only hope is that all of the new and “new” Democrats that have voted in the primaries do cast their vote in November.
I figured the democratic vote wouldn’t have been as close. Obama is only 7% ahead (as it stands now) of Edwards and Clinton, which statistically tied with 30% of the vote.
I called Huckabee being the “winner” of the Iowa vote. Not like it was a big surprise considering the good press and rise in the polls in recent weeks.
I predicted earlier today that it would be a Huckabee McCain ticket, but it’s still very very very very early in the process.
I’m not even going to try to think about the Democratic ticket. I am impressed a lot of white country folks actually voted for Obama. My mind might be changing, but people could be wrapped up in his personal skills and attributes, and something might happen later in the campaign that makes people (the populous) look at him differently.
What do I know, really? Just thoughts. Obama won because Independent voters voted for him above Edwards and Clinton. Besides that, it was a tie among Democrats.
If people want change, what can be more different then a dark skinned man with a foreign name (who isn’t a Bush or Clinton) become president?
52 weeks and approximately seven hours, we will have a new president.
I pray things will be better.







